Probability vs. Reality: Charting Your Own Course

“𝐈𝐟 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝟏𝟎𝟎% 𝐜𝐞𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐲 𝐢𝐧 𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐢𝐭’𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐬𝐭 𝐬𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐲𝐨𝐮…